There’s a petition going around calling for Texas to secede from the United States. It has more than 100,000 signatures and was started by a UTA student. Rather than just agreeing with online comments saying that “this is a disgrace” and “a terrible idea,” let’s go through just exactly how Texas would be able to thrive on its own and the requirements to do so.
First off, let’s talk money. Texas netted about $94 billion last year in revenue and spent about $95 billion. So before we even get into the cost of starting federal programs to replace the ones we would inevitably lose, we’re already at a deficit of a billion dollars.
Even more, we’re the largest funding stream from Washington in the United States. So not only are we deficit spending in our state, we’re already relying on more than $40 billion from the federal government to stay afloat.
Most of this funding was sent to pay for the federal programs such as Medicaid, something we’d have to start. Angry about the tax increases over the past few years? That’s child’s play in comparison to what would come if Texas seceded. Fort Hood would shut down because it’s a section of the U.S. military, costing Texas about $4 billion.
We’d need to arm a military, which in 2011 cost the U.S. $928 billion. We would also need some form of health care, some sort of disaster relief, a postal service, welfare, social security, FDA, CIA, FBI — the list goes on.
Theoretically adding up all these starting costs would be well over a trillion dollars, and that’s just start-up costs. Add in deficit spending for every possible year for quite some time and that national deficit we have now sure doesn’t look all that bad.
Mentioned earlier was the need for armed forces funding. Assuming we’re allowed the “peaceful secession” mentioned in the petition, we still need a national defense from the dozens of other superpowers that would love to jump at the opportunity to take over another territory that is no longer under the protection of the United States.
At least Texas would be a conservative haven though, right? How about that 2020 projection that just about every analyst has predicted, when the Latino population of Texas outnumbers the Anglo?
Adding in the election demographics, where the Latino population favored Barack Obama 71 percent to 27 percent, maybe the United State of Texas wouldn’t be that conservative any more.
What’s more, political analyst Nate Silver projected that had Texas seceded before the 2008 election, Barack Obama would have won the electoral vote by 242 votes. The senate would be dominated by Democrats, holding 60 of the 98 seats. Still think secession is a good course of action?
Despite being incredibly in debt, practically handing over the government of the United States to the Democratic Party and the risk of invasion by other foreign threats, let’s add in that we need to start our own government.
Gov. Rick Perry, the would-be fearless leader of the Republic of Texas (at least he was ready to be back in 2009), doesn’t support the secession movement. So we’d need to elect a leader, decide how that works, assign whether our government would be based off the United States or an entirely different system, decide the future capital — since there’s already talk of Austin remaining a part of the union — and do all of this before we encounter more unforeseen problems.
Let’s remember the United States had to completely revise its government after the immense failure of the Articles of Confederation, and that’s when the nation at least had a source of revenue.
Secession is always a popular topic in the year after an election, right after the, “I’m moving to Canada” tweets and “It’s the end of the world” predictions. Let’s remember how impossible it would be to successfully secede from the U.S. and the incredible backlash we’d experience from it.